The Phantom Profit Trap: A Broker’s Tale
Let’s talk about Marcus. Marcus is a broker who thought he had the "perfect" listing. It was a specialized manufacturing firm with $2M in EBITDA, steady year-over-year growth, and a clean balance sheet. The Financial Due Diligence (DD) was a breeze. The Quality of Earnings (QoE) report came back spotless. The buyer, a private equity group with plenty of "dry powder," was ready to wire the funds.
Then came the operational walkthrough.
It turned out the "proprietary inventory system" was actually just the warehouse manager, Bob, who memorized where everything was. The "state-of-the-art" machinery? It hadn't seen a service technician in five years because the owner didn't believe in "wasting money" on preventive maintenance. The financials said this business was a goldmine; the operations said it was a ticking time bomb.
Marcus saved the deal, but only by pivoting hard. He renegotiated the purchase price to account for $500k in immediate CapEx needs and structured an earn-out to keep Bob (and his brain) onboard.
The Lesson: Financials tell you what the business did yesterday. Operational Due Diligence tells you if it can do it again tomorrow.
Why Operational Due Diligence Matters
According to the Harvard Business Review, between 70% and 90% of M&A deals fail to meet their investment thesis. While financial surprises are common, the real deal-killers are often operational: key person dependency, crumbling infrastructure, or supply chains held together by a handshake.
Operational due diligence examines how the business actually runs day-to-day. It identifies operational risks, transition challenges, and opportunities for improvement.
Operations Overview
Daily Operations Assessment
The first step is to verify that the business is a system, not just a job for the owner. If the owner gets hit by a bus (or just wants to go to Hawaii for a month), does the revenue stop?
Area | Questions to Answer |
|---|---|
Hours | What are the true operating hours (including after-hours support)? |
Workflow | How does a lead become a sale, and a sale become a delivered product? |
Customer interaction | Who actually talks to the clients? (Is it just the owner?) |
Quality control | How is quality maintained and measured? |
Management | Who makes daily decisions without calling the owner? |
Process Documentation
A business running on "tribal knowledge" is impossible to scale and risky to buy.
Broker Note: Watch out for "Key Person Risk." If the business can't survive a 3-month owner vacation, you aren't selling a business; you're selling a high-paid job. Buyers will discount heavily for this.
Equipment and Assets
The "Deferred Maintenance" Trap
This is where EBITDA adjustments often get messy. Sellers love to "add back" maintenance costs to show higher profits. But as a buyer, you need to know if that extra profit is just a future expense in disguise.
Research from Pacific Partners Consulting Group suggests that every $1 deferred in maintenance costs $4 in future capital renewal.
Equipment Assessment
Equipment | Evaluation Areas |
|---|---|
Age | Years in service vs. industry standard life expectancy. |
Condition | Working order vs. "held together with duct tape." |
Remaining life | How soon until a major CapEx event is required? |
Replacement cost | accurate current market replacement cost. |
Maintenance records | Proof of regular service (preventive vs. reactive). |
Equipment Checklist
Technology Systems
Don't overlook "Technical Debt." If their "CRM" is a rolodex or an Excel sheet from 1998, the buyer faces a massive integration cost.
System | Review Areas |
|---|---|
Accounting software | Version, capability, and cloud-integration readiness. |
CRM/customer database | Data hygiene and ownership of customer records. |
Operational software | Industry-specific ERPs or custom-built (and unsupportable) tools. |
Website/e-commerce | Platform stability, SEO ownership, and mobile responsiveness. |
Phone/communication | VoIP contracts and hardware age. |
Facilities
Physical Inspection
Never trust the photos. Walk the floor. Look at the ceiling tiles (leaks?), check the loading docks, and inspect the employee break rooms.
Facility Issues
Issue | Impact |
|---|---|
Deferred maintenance | Direct deduction from purchase price or Working Capital. |
Code violations | Compliance cost + potential fines/shutdowns. |
Space limitations | Growth constraints that cap future revenue. |
Location problems | Accessibility issues that drive customers to competitors. |
Supplier and Vendor Review
Key Supplier Analysis
If 80% of their raw material comes from one factory in a geopolitically unstable region, you have a problem.
Supplier Category | Review Points |
|---|---|
Primary suppliers | Relationship strength. Is pricing tied to the owner personally? |
Critical vendors | Dependency risk. What happens if they go out of business? |
Service providers | Contract terms (Are they transferable/assignable?) |
Utilities | Rates, contracts, and transfer requirements. |
Supply Chain Considerations
Customer Operations
Customer Service Model
- Acquisition: Is it repeatable marketing, or just the owner's golf buddies?
- Service: Is the service level agreement (SLA) sustainable without the owner working 60 hours/week?
- Experience: What do the Google/Yelp reviews actually say?
- Retention: Is there a formal process for saving at-risk accounts?
Customer Concentration
The "Gorilla Client" is a classic deal structure issue. If Customer A leaves, does the business tank?
Customer | % Revenue | Relationship Length | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|---|
Customer A | __% | __ years | High/Med/Low |
Customer B | __% | __ years | High/Med/Low |
Customer C | __% | __ years | High/Med/Low |
Inventory (if applicable)
Inventory Review
Dead stock is not an asset; it's a liability that takes up rent.
Inventory Issues
Issue | Impact |
|---|---|
Slow-moving inventory | Valuation adjustment (often pennies on the dollar). |
Obsolete stock | Immediate write-off needed before close. |
Inadequate tracking | Operational risk (theft/shrinkage). |
Poor storage | Loss/damage risk and insurance issues. |
Human Resources Operations
Team Assessment
People are often the most valuable—and volatile—asset.
Role | Key Questions |
|---|---|
Key employees | Who holds the relationships/knowledge? (Golden handcuffs needed?) |
Tenure | How long employed? (High turnover = culture flags) |
Succession | Is there a "Bus Factor" backup for each role? |
Training | How are skills maintained? |
Morale | Team satisfaction (Glassdoor reviews, unofficial chats). |
HR Processes
Operational Red Flags
If you see these, pause the deal and dig deeper.
Red Flag | Concern |
|---|---|
Owner does everything | Transition risk: The business is an extension of their ego. |
No documented processes | Knowledge loss: When the owner leaves, the brain leaves. |
Old/failing equipment | Capital needs: The "cheap" purchase price is actually expensive. |
Key employee leaving | Capability loss: Did the top sales rep just quit? |
Single-source suppliers | Supply risk: One fire at a vendor's plant stops your business. |
Customer complaints increasing | Service issues: The brand is eroding before you buy it. |
Next Steps for Brokers
Operational diligence isn't about killing deals; it's about structuring them correctly. If you find deferred maintenance, shift the conversation to CapEx adjustments. If you find key person risk, talk about transition service agreements (TSAs) or earn-outs.

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